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Fuel Recovery: Ditch the DOE

January 1, 2023

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Introduction

Historically, the transportation industry has lacked an accurate way to calculate fuel consumption per shipment and the price of fuel along a specific lane on a given date. Most shippers rely on the Department of Energy’s (DOE) index-based fuel surcharge to calculate a fuel reimbursement.  

However, using a weekly national average creates significant distortions in fuel costs—especially in today’s volatile energy market. Shippers who continue to rely on this outdated model are missing out on substantial opportunities to reduce transportation fuel costs and optimize their networks.

Shippers can eliminate these distortions by implementing a market-based fuel reimbursement program. This approach delivers lane-level visibility into your transportation network, reducing cost, consumption, and emissions. On average, market-based fuel reimbursements reduce truckload fuel spend by 20% compared to legacy fuel programs.

By accounting for daily fluctuations, a market-based program creates a distinct competitive advantage.

Four Reasons the DOE Index Falls Short

The shortcomings of the DOE index are significant for shippers seeking accurate and fair fuel reimbursements. Here are the four primary reasons why the DOE approach fails:

1. Price

Fuel reimbursements should be fair and accurate between shippers and carriers. To gain transparency, shippers should reimburse carriers at the same price at which their carriers procure fuel. And while the DOE provides a once-weekly, single national price based on a sample of less than 10% of all 53’ accessible fueling stations, most well-managed carriers procure fuel at wholesale pricing.

The chart above illustrates the spread between DOE retail and the national wholesale average, exemplifying the value of a market-based fuel reimbursement program. The spread between wholesale and retail prices has at times reached over one dollar per gallon, but has averaged 52.4 cents per gallon in the last five years.

Breakthrough Fuel Recovery aligns to the true fuel cost. By considering the fuel efficiency of the carrier and the real market fuel prices along lanes, the program takes a strategic approach to transportation management.

Line chart showing U.S. diesel price history from December 2019 through December 2025, measured in cents per gallon. Three lines are displayed: DOE Retail, Wholesale TL, and Rail Diesel. All three price series follow similar patterns—rising sharply through 2021, peaking in mid‑2022, then gradually declining and stabilizing. Wholesale TL and Rail Diesel remain consistently below the DOE Retail price. The gap between retail and wholesale prices frequently exceeds 50 cents per gallon and at times surpasses one dollar. The chart illustrates the longstanding spread between DOE retail pricing and the lower wholesale prices paid by well‑managed carriers, underscoring why market‑based fuel reimbursement provides a fairer and more accurate method for compensating carriers.
2. Time

Diesel prices fluctuate daily and are one of the most volatile cost inputs affecting the transportation industry. When shippers use the DOE index to calculate their fuel reimbursements, they miss drastic price swings that occur throughout the week, resulting in overpayment.

Line chart showing daily U.S. wholesale diesel price volatility from July 2025 through January 2026, measured in cents per gallon. The line moves sharply above and below zero, with frequent swings of 5 to 10 cents per gallon and several spikes reaching more than 10 cents. Negative swings drop as low as about –12 cents. The chart demonstrates significant day‑to‑day price movement that is not captured in the weekly DOE retail diesel price index, illustrating how relying on a weekly index can cause shippers to overpay compared to a market‑based fuel reimbursement program that accounts for daily fluctuations.

The chart above shows the magnitude of wholesale diesel market price changes that occurred between the DOE’s weekly retail diesel fuel price index.

A weekly index is fundamentally incapable of accounting for these daily fluctuations, and as a result, shippers are leaving large sums of money on the table. Shippers using a market-based fuel reimbursement program can create a competitive advantage in their supply chains by accounting for these daily fluctuations.

3. Tax

State over-the-road tax differentials can create discrepancies of more than 80¢ per gallon between different parts of the U.S. Carriers pay for taxes based on where they consume gallons, not where they purchase them. When shippers reimburse on a national level, the discrepancies missed at the lane level end up costing them extra.

Choropleth map of the United States showing 2025 diesel tax rates by state. States are shaded from light blue to dark blue, representing a tax range from $0.08 to $0.97 per gallon. Western states, including California, show some of the highest diesel tax rates in dark blue, while several central and southern states appear in lighter shades indicating lower tax levels. The visualization highlights wide state‑by‑state tax differences—often more than 80 cents per gallon—which can create significant discrepancies in fuel cost. The map supports the message that shippers should reimburse carriers based on the actual state‑level taxes incurred along a lane rather than using a single national rate.

Tax values change each January and July as state laws are updated. The map above indicates the value of each state’s diesel tax in 2025, illustrating fuel prices are greatly influenced by tax rates across the country.

Shippers should pay the exact amount incurred by the movement of their goods. Taking a market-based approach accurately accounts for the state’s diesel tax for a fair fuel reimbursement.

4. Geography

The price of diesel fuel varies across the country. The DOE Index’s one-time, weekly national average doesn’t reflect the reality of fuel procurement as diesel prices vary at every station along a route across the country. Even before taxes and final distribution costs are applied, diesel commodity costs can vary substantially from one location to the next.

Choropleth map of the United States showing average wholesale diesel prices by state for 2025. States are shaded from light blue to dark blue, representing a price range from approximately $2.83 to $4.47 per gallon. Western states, including California, appear in the darkest shades with the highest prices, while many southern and central states appear in lighter shades with lower wholesale diesel costs. The map illustrates substantial geographic variation in diesel commodity pricing, supporting the need for market‑based fuel reimbursement that reflects real local price differences rather than a single weekly national DOE average.

The chart above shows price differentials by state. Understanding the drivers and changes in local commodity prices is crucial to creating a reimbursement program that reflects the actual fuel cost incurred by carriers.

Common drivers of volatility include refinery maintenance mishaps and weather events. A shipper’s cost exposure also relies heavily on their geographic footprint. A market-based fuel reimbursement strategy accounts for the difference in pricing along a lane to remove the geographic distortion found in an index-based approach. 

Discover the Value of a Market-Based Approach

A market-based approach has clear advantages over the distorted DOE Index that shippers have historically used to calculate a fuel surcharge. With Breakthrough’s Fuel Recovery solution, shippers can be confident they are paying the true cost of fuel on every movement, every day.  

On average, shippers using Fuel Recovery achieved a 20% reduction in truckload fuel spend and 40% reduction in intermodal fuel spend. In 2025, the national average spread between retail and wholesale price points was 54.4 cents per gallon.

Map of the United States showing regional diesel price examples compared to the DOE’s weekly national average of $5.72 per gallon. Various lanes are highlighted with market‑based prices at specific locations: $5.92 on the West Coast, $4.59 in the Midwest, $4.69 in the South, $4.79 in the central East, $4.77 in the Southeast, and $5.27 in the Northeast. The map illustrates that actual wholesale diesel prices vary widely by region and are often well below the single DOE retail average.
Fuel Recovery Clients Benefit From:
  • Transparent Strategies: Get direct line-of-sight into fair-market fuel reimbursements based on actual movements to ensure both shippers and carriers are made whole.
  • Reduced Costs: The accuracy created by market-based fuel reimbursements reduces transportation costs by 20% on average compared to shippers’ previous fuel programs.
  • Accurate Reporting: Clear visibility to your network's true baseline fuel consumption creates a clear path to facilitate emissions reduction and network optimization initiatives.

Are you ready to move past averages and align your fuel strategy with reality?

Take the first step.

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Fuel Recovery: Ditch the DOE