2026 EU Transport Energy Market Outlook

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The European diesel market continues to be shaped by competing pressures. Our 2026 EU Transport Energy Market Outlook report provides data-driven expertise to build accurate fuel budgets and mitigate financial risk.
By leveraging our industry insights, you can move beyond reactive decision-making and strategically position your organisation for emerging market dynamics.
Download the report to inform your operational planning and ensure long-term cost stability.
Our comprehensive market analysis provides actionable insights to help your organisation be knowledgeable in today’s evolving transport energy landscape. Here are key highlights from the 2026 market outlook report:
European diesel inventories remain below historical averages due to the Russian fuel ban and reduced refining capacity, maintaining an elevated price floor across the region.
A record global crude oversupply has pushed Brent benchmarks to five-year lows, creating significant potential for downward adjustments in regional diesel costs.
Shifting international relations and diplomatic negotiations continue to drive market volatility, directly impacting the long-term stability of diesel pricing.
Transport rates are increasingly complex, with fluctuating tolls, driver wages, and emerging EU ETS II charges impacting the single rate given to transport partners. Breakthrough’s Fuel Recovery solution simplifies this by unbundling fuel from the transport rate, allowing you to treat fuel as a pass-through expense.
Key benefits of Fuel Recovery:

Breakthrough's Fuel Recovery solution unbundles fuel from your all-in transport rate, bringing clarity to your second-largest transport expense. Move beyond all-in rate speculation and build more strategic, sustainable partnerships.